The new China price. What China will ask for return for bailing out Europe, the EU.
The global stakes and situation in Europe just get bigger and wilder. Last week, news of a mega-deal that would put a cork in the bottle of European financial chaos, contain the contagion. Now, Greece will go to the polls to vote on whether or not to take that pain. If the vote is no, who knows where we go.
Meanwhile, Europe’s first call after the deal was not to Washington, but to Beijing. They need Chinese cash – lots of it – to make this work. The US hasn’t got it. So here we are. Europe begging China for a bailout. And the planet’s power matrix turns.
This hour On Point: the China price for a bailout.
Alkman Granitsas, bureau chief for Greece and Cyprus for Dow Jones Newswires and contributor to the Wall Street Journal.
Pieter Bottelier, adjunct professor of China Studies at the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University.
Arvind Subramanian, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, author of “Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic Dominance.” His op-ed in the New York Times is ”Why China Should Bail Out Europe.”
Clyde Prestowitz, is founder and President of the Economic Strategy Institute.
The troubled economies of Europe have turned to a new economic backer: China. That represents a significant shift in the global power balance, experts contend.
“This would have been unthinkable 20 years ago. China is now in a position to exert enormous financial power,” said Pieter Bottelier, adjunct professor of China Studies at Johns Hopkins University.
But he cautioned that solving Europe’s economic woes won’t be easy. “There’s no question that China has the dough to solve these short-term financial problems, if there was a short-term financial problem. But it’s not. There is a profound structural design problem that only the Europeans can solve,” he said.
Bottelier also noted that a collapse of Europe as an export market for China would also be calamitous. China’s intentions should become clearer at the G-20 meeting coming up later this week in France.
“Europe is edging closer to the precipice,” said Arvind Subramanian, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. “It has to be China that comes to the rescue… They are the only country with the cash to do so.”
Subramanian said that China should aid Europe through the International Monetary Fund.
“This is less dramatic than what has been discussed….The Europeans have not tapped our their own resources, they have the ability to do more and they should,” noted Clyde Prestowitz, founder and President of the Economic Strategy Institute. “I don’t see China as the absolute key to saving Europe.”
From Tom’s Reading List
The New York Times “A day after European leaders unveiled their latest plan to save the euro, top officials opened talks with China in an effort to lure tens of billions of dollars in additional cash, giving China perhaps its biggest opportunity yet to exercise financial clout in the Western world. ”
Financial Times “Analysts said that in an environment of cautiously positive risk sentiment nervous investors had clung to their Japanese assets, preferring to sell dollar holdings into periods of inflated risk appetite on speculation that the US Federal Reserve will venture back down the path of quantitative easing.”
Project Syndicate “The debt crisis in Europe is no longer a European affair. Coupled with fears of a double-dip recession in the United States, the European debt crisis is dragging the global economy into another cycle of financial panic and economic recession.”